๐ ALPHA IS A NUMBER, NOT A VIBE๐ EVERY MEMECOIN CAN GO TO ZERO๐ข SOLANA ONLY๐ PUMPFUN ยท RAYDIUM ยท METEORAโก SIGNALS REFRESH EVERY 30s๐งช NO TRADES EXECUTED, EVER๐ ALPHA IS A NUMBER, NOT A VIBE๐ EVERY MEMECOIN CAN GO TO ZERO๐ข SOLANA ONLY๐ PUMPFUN ยท RAYDIUM ยท METEORAโก SIGNALS REFRESH EVERY 30s๐งช NO TRADES EXECUTED, EVER
METHODOLOGYโฎ
Every MemeRadar call is a number you can audit. The conviction score is a weighted sum of six factors computed from live DexScreener pair data on Solana. Nothing is hand-picked, nothing is paid placement, and no model opinion is involved.
Momentum
30 pts
Weighted blend of the 5m, 1h and 6h price change. A move that is building against its own 6h base scores higher than one that already went vertical โ a token up more than 120% on the hour is penalised, because entering there is chasing the wick. Deep 24h drawdowns halve the factor.
Volume quality
25 pts
24h volume measured against pool liquidity. Real rotation sits somewhere around 3xโ10x liquidity. Above 25x the turnover usually means wash trading or a coordinated exit through a thin pool, so the factor is cut to a third. Under $15k of daily volume the factor is heavily discounted โ there is no one to sell to.
Buy pressure
20 pts
Buy versus sell transaction counts, weighting the last hour at 60% and the last six hours at 40%. Above 60% buys the tape is one-sided and bids are stepping up. Below 42% it is distribution, and a sell-pressure risk flag is raised.
Liquidity floor
15 pts
Logarithmic score above a $5k base. Under $10k of liquidity the factor is zeroed and a hard risk flag fires โ a single exit collapses the chart, so no amount of momentum can earn an APE call. Between $10k and $30k the token is tradeable but position size is the whole risk model.
Pair age
10 pts
A curve, not a line. Peak score for pairs between 6 hours and 7 days old: survived launch, still early. Under 2 hours triggers a hard risk flag, since that window is where most rugs happen. Past 30 days the score decays โ the initial run is over and it needs a fresh catalyst.
Social presence
5 pts
A small bonus for an attached website, X account or Telegram. Narrative needs a distribution channel. Zero links raises a soft risk flag but does not disqualify a token on its own.
Score to call
APE
75 โ 100
Every factor lines up and no hard risk flag fired. Highest-conviction degen play on the board.
WATCH
55 โ 74
The setup is real but incomplete. Starter size or wait for confirmation.
FADE
35 โ 54
Signals are weak or deteriorating. Not a short call โ just not a buy.
RUG RISK
below 35, or any hard flag
Sub-$10k liquidity, under 2 hours old, or an outright failing score. Assume total loss.
What MemeRadar is not
MemeRadar does not connect a wallet, hold funds, route orders or execute trades. It is an alpha caller: it surfaces opportunities, shows the maths behind each one and flags the ways it can go to zero. Scores update every 30 seconds and can change completely within a single candle. Nothing here is financial advice.